First "Post-Roe" Poll Shows Swing To Democrats In Generic Ballot - Bonds & Currency News | Market News

  

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Via:  jbb  •  one month ago  •  44 comments

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First "Post-Roe" Poll Shows Swing To Democrats In Generic Ballot - Bonds & Currency News | Market News
First "Post-Roe" Poll Shows Swing To Democrats In Generic Ballot

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The first generic congressional ballot poll released since the Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe Vs Wade has shown a dramatic swing to the Democrats.

  • The NPR/Marist/PBS poll, based on data collected on 24/25 June, shows Democrats with a +7 lead in Congressional voter intentions.
  • The poll has caused a significant uptick on Real Clear Politics generic congressional ballot tracker and could be an indication that the SCOTUS ruling will mobilise the Democratic base. It should, however, be caveated by warnings that it may be an outlier.
  • Sarah Ewall-Wice of ABC News: "I'm skeptical over what holds this far out, but here's a NPR/PBS/Marist poll reversing generic congressional ballot: Pre-abortion opinion leak: 47% supported GOP candidate, 44% supported Democrat Post ruling Friday: 48% support Dems, 41% support GOP."
  • More polls will be reported this week which may support the emergence of a trend.

Generic Congressional Ballot Real Clear Politics


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JBB
Professor Principal
1  seeder  JBB    one month ago

Up by 3% a week ago the gop is now down by 8%.

Some yahoos alrady been celebrating a gop win!

 
 
 
Gazoo
Sophomore Silent
1.1  Gazoo  replied to  JBB @1    one month ago

“Up by 3% a week ago”

that’ll change as soon as they have to buy something.

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
1.1.1  seeder  JBB  replied to  Gazoo @1.1    one month ago

Good thing unemployment is not a problem and wages are increasing for working Americans.

The gop really pissed off the voters this time.

original

 
 
 
Gazoo
Sophomore Silent
1.1.2  Gazoo  replied to  JBB @1.1.1    one month ago

Ohhh, a picture, how cute. Where have i seen those before? [Deleted]

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Freshman Principal
1.1.3  Drinker of the Wry  replied to  JBB @1.1.1    one month ago

Exactly, FiveThirtyEight has Biden at a 39% Approval rating which is even below Trump at the same point, and amazingly 1.5% below Kamala's approval rating.  On the generic Congressional ballot, the repubs are only up 2%.

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
1.1.4  seeder  JBB  replied to  Drinker of the Wry @1.1.3    one month ago

The poll was about which party respondents intend to vote for, not Joe Biden's popularity...

Biden is not even on voter's ballots in Nov!

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Freshman Principal
1.1.5  Drinker of the Wry  replied to  JBB @1.1.4    one month ago
Biden is not even on voter's ballots in Nov

No shit?

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
1.1.6  Texan1211  replied to  JBB @1.1.1    one month ago

any wage increases have been negated by Bidenflation.

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
1.1.7  seeder  JBB  replied to  Texan1211 @1.1.6    one month ago

The gop nominates unelectable candidates!

 
 
 
arkpdx
PhD Participates
1.1.8  arkpdx  replied to  JBB @1.1.1    one month ago
 wages are increasing for working Americans

Of course higher gas prices and overall inflation means those same workers can buy less now than they could prior to Biden. What do you think will mean more to voters in November, being able to kill an unborn baby or being able to feed and transport the family they already have? 

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
1.1.9  Sparty On  replied to  JBB @1.1.1    one month ago

And yet nearly all businesses have positions open they can’t fill with quality employee’s.    

You go Millennials and GenZers

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
1.1.10  Sparty On  replied to  Drinker of the Wry @1.1.5    one month ago

Yep, they plan on running him out on the same rail they ran Breyer out on.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
1.1.11  Sparty On  replied to  Texan1211 @1.1.6    one month ago

And Shrinkflation.    Maybe Joe can do the same with gas.    Make a gallon, a half a gallon.    

Presto chango,  three bucks a Biden gallon ...

 
 
 
Buzz of the Orient
Professor Principal
1.1.12  Buzz of the Orient  replied to  Sparty On @1.1.11    one month ago

"Shrinkaflation" is no joke, it's a method the manufacturers are using to fool the public into thinking they're still getting their money's worth, while they're being cheated. 

 
 
 
Mark in Wyoming
Professor Silent
1.1.13  Mark in Wyoming   replied to  JBB @1.1.4    one month ago
Biden is not even on voter's ballots in Nov!

very austute , but you know what IS on ballot?

His policies that have led to a rise in prices , and the issues of inflation, his inability to get things done  , but that always happens in mid term elections, any fool knows this if they pay attention  .

i dont know if james carville is still considered a democrat , but he hit the nail on the head when he said ,"its the economy stupid ..."

 This mid term may very well turn out to be one of those where people ask are they better off today than they were 2 or 4 or 6 years ago. 

And the voters will be honest when answering that question for themselves irregardless of party politics or affiliation .

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
1.1.14  Texan1211  replied to  JBB @1.1.7    one month ago
The gop nominates unelectable candidates!

I wish to God you could make some sense.

If what YOU claim is true, why is the Democratic 'majority' currently so damn small?

We will see you the day after the midterms.

Say, whatever happened to that great Biden economy you were touting last year?

lose much in the stock market this year when it has plunged?

 
 
 
Ronin2
Professor Quiet
1.1.15  Ronin2  replied to  JBB @1.1.1    one month ago

Don't read the news do you?

That is the Democrat economic reality. Voters already know Democrats don't give a shit. 

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Expert
2  Sean Treacy    one month ago

And the next three polls released show R+3, R+5, R+5.

Do you know what the word outlier means? 

The RCP average on June 1 had Republicans by 2... On July 1, it was Republicans by 2.

The poll average is essentially the same on April 1 as it was on July 1, on both 538 and RCP.  Dobbs hasn't changed anything. The average has gone from Republicans +2.1 to Republicans +2 since April.

By contrast, the polls had Dems +7 on election day 2020, and they barely won the House. What happens if there's a 9 point swing to Republicans from 2020, as it stands today? 

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
2.1  seeder  JBB  replied to  Sean Treacy @2    one month ago

Post Roe reversal polls are showing a big shift.

A shift away from the damn bassackwards gop.

original

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Expert
2.1.1  Sean Treacy  replied to  JBB @2.1    one month ago
Post Roe reversal polls are showing a big shift.

I guess we know how to answer this question: Do you know what the word outlier means? 

I forgot you deal in memes and not actual evidence. 

Post Roe polls (note the use of the plural, not one handpicked poll) show no shift. It was Republicans plus 2 before Dobbs, and Republicans Plus 2 after.

For those who go by reality, and no memes:

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
2.1.2  seeder  JBB  replied to  Sean Treacy @2.1.1    one month ago

The gop's chances of taking control of the US Senate have gone down from 50-50 to 0%!

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Freshman Principal
2.1.3  Drinker of the Wry  replied to  JBB @2.1.2    one month ago
The gop's chances of taking control of the US Senate have gone down from 50-50 to 0%!

The Senate, unlike the House remains competitive. You can only get to 0% is if your applying NYC fantasy math,  

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
2.1.4  Texan1211  replied to  JBB @2.1    one month ago
Post Roe reversal polls are showing a big shift.

Are that many Democratic voters actually stupid enough to believe that who they elect in the midterms can change the Supreme Court?

You know, that IS believable for enough Democrats to be that stupid.

 
 
 
Buzz of the Orient
Professor Principal
3  Buzz of the Orient    one month ago

Inflation is a world-wide problem, although exacerbated in America due to tariffs on non-American products, blocking foreign products, and the fallout effects of the continuing and increasing sanctions on Russia (and other nations) created by America, while Biden and NATO keep providing more for maintaining the war rather than for ending it.

Roe vs Wade is a national American issue, and the right-wing/conservative/Republican support of its being overturned, causing IMO the  enslavement of American women, along with revelations of Republican complicity in January 6th just might, for people who can think past their own noses, mis- and disinformation and FOX NEWS, cause a routing of the Republicans in November.  Wish I had more faith in that regard. 

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
3.1  seeder  JBB  replied to  Buzz of the Orient @3    one month ago

The January 6th Hearings are not helping the gop!

original

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Freshman Principal
3.1.1  Drinker of the Wry  replied to  JBB @3.1    one month ago

Is that your best 'duh' observation?

 
 
 
Mark in Wyoming
Professor Silent
3.1.2  Mark in Wyoming   replied to  JBB @3.1    one month ago

only thing i see in that picture is one person that is out of a job , and the other is soon to be out of a job .

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
3.1.3  seeder  JBB  replied to  Mark in Wyoming @3.1.2    one month ago

I see two women who are willing to suffer the abuse they are sustaining to tell us the truth!

Knowing they would get hurt. That is Courage.

 
 
 
Mark in Wyoming
Professor Silent
3.1.4  Mark in Wyoming   replied to  JBB @3.1.3    one month ago

as they say , different strokes for different folks . 

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
3.1.5  seeder  JBB  replied to  Mark in Wyoming @3.1.4    one month ago

No, honor and truth versus sedition and lies...

If you aren't on the side of truth what are you?

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
3.1.6  seeder  JBB  replied to  Drinker of the Wry @3.1.1    one month ago

Hutchison's testimony devastated Trump!

 
 
 
Mark in Wyoming
Professor Silent
3.1.7  Mark in Wyoming   replied to  JBB @3.1.5    one month ago

what am i ? someone that doesnt give a shit what you think anyway .

 but i do enjoy watching you chase your tail in circles , till you puke .

 
 
 
Ronin2
Professor Quiet
3.1.8  Ronin2  replied to  JBB @3.1.6    one month ago

Only to TDS driven idiots that already made up their mind that Trump has to be gotten at all costs. 

Hearsay is not admissible in a court of law; and that is all that she had.

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Expert
3.2  Sean Treacy  replied to  Buzz of the Orient @3    one month ago
causing IMO the  enslavement of American women,

Amazing that you presumably  typed that with a straight face.  Do you have any how demeaning that it is to actual slaves? 

[Deleted]

 
 
 
Buzz of the Orient
Professor Principal
3.2.1  Buzz of the Orient  replied to  Sean Treacy @3.2    one month ago

From the top definition of slavery from a Microsoft BING search:

slav·er·y
[ˈslāv(ə)rē]
NOUN
the state of being a slave:
a condition compared to that of a slave in respect of exhausting labor or restricted freedom:
"female domestic slavery"

"restricted freedom"

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Expert
3.2.2  Sean Treacy  replied to  Buzz of the Orient @3.2.1    one month ago

Sure. An heiress with a multi-million dollar fortune who lives in luxury and has personal servants to take care of every whim  lives a life no better than a field hand in the antebellum south. I'm sure the field hands feel nothing but pity for the poor heiresses of America. 

In the race to be as hyperbolic as possible, do you ever stop and think what exactly it is you are arguing? 

"restricted freedom"

So you consider yourself, and all residents of China, slaves? 

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
3.2.3  seeder  JBB  replied to  Sean Treacy @3.2.2    one month ago

An entitled American heiress? Like this one?

original

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Expert
3.2.4  Sean Treacy  replied to  JBB @3.2.3    one month ago

I guess. Some people claim her life is as hard as a slaves.

thats what progressives are now arguing. 

Be proud.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
4  Sparty On    one month ago

Muuhwaaaahahaaa .... the Dems master plan is working ...... /S

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
4.1  seeder  JBB  replied to  Sparty On @4    one month ago

More like the gop's masterplan is imploding on it!

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
4.1.1  Texan1211  replied to  JBB @4.1    one month ago
More like the gop's masterplan is imploding on it!

You keep that dream alive!

LMMFAO!!!!

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
4.1.2  Sparty On  replied to  JBB @4.1    one month ago

You keep repeating that lie, over and over again but it isn’t working ..... damn bad luck for you sir.

 
 
 
Hallux
Sophomore Principal
5  Hallux    one month ago

Chronos doesn't care.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
6  Sparty On    one month ago

Meanwhile Hunter does another eightball ..... he doesn’t care either .....

 
 

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