More consequences for democrats
Category: Op/EdBy: vic-eldred • 4 months ago • 123 comments
An amazing thing happened in 2021. Not only did the political candidate who campaigned on being a moderate unifier, govern as a wildly radical, woke extremist, but for the first time in the history of the country, the theories being taught at American universities were actually put into practice. We saw the effort to teach CRT to our military and our young children, defunding of police departments, DA's refusing to prosecute certain crimes, vaccine mandates used in tandem with virtue signaling, the weaponization of the DOJ & FBI against American parents, a two tier system of justice, an attempt at passing the green new deal under another name, an attempt to end the filibuster for one party rule, an attempt at making election rule changes permanent under the disguise of voting rights, abandonment of the nation's energy independence in the name of climate change, and a wide open southern border.
The immediate consequence to all these radical policies is that democrats will suffer a major defeat in the next election. The polls show that, the recent elections in Virginia and New Jersey dramatically indicate that and the fact that 25 democrat House members have decided not to run again point directly to that. However, there is another consequence for the democrats year of radical rule: Polling by Gallup now shows that the democratic party is losing members. The moderate wing? The old guard of traditional democrats?
Here is the results of Gallup's latest poll on party affiliation:
"These results are based on aggregated data from all U.S. Gallup telephone surveys in 2021, which included interviews with more than 12,000 randomly sampled U.S. adults.
Gallup asks all Americans it interviews whether they identify politically as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent. Independents are then asked whether they lean more toward the Republican or Democratic Party. The combined percentage of party identifiers and leaners gives a measure of the relative strength of the two parties politically.
Both the nine-point Democratic advantage in the first quarter and the five-point Republican edge in the fourth quarter are among the largest Gallup has measured for each party in any quarter since it began regularly measuring party identification and leaning in 1991.
The Democratic lead in the first quarter was the largest for the party since the fourth quarter of 2012 , when Democrats also had a nine-point advantage. Democrats held larger, double-digit advantages in isolated quarters between 1992 and 1999 and nearly continuously between mid-2006 and early 2009.
The GOP has held as much as a five-point advantage in a total of only four quarters since 1991. The Republicans last held a five-point advantage in party identification and leaning in early 1995, after winning control of the House of Representatives for the first time since the 1950s. Republicans had a larger advantage only in the first quarter of 1991, after the U.S. victory in the Persian Gulf War led by then-President George H.W. Bush.
Party Preference Shifts Follow Changes in Presidential Approval
Shifting party preferences in 2021 are likely tied to changes in popularity of the two men who served as president during the year. Republican Donald Trump finished out his single term in January, after being defeated in the 2020 election, with a 34% job approval rating , the lowest of his term. His popularity fell more than 10 points from Election Day 2020 as the country's COVID-19 infections and deaths reached then-record highs, he refused to acknowledge the result of the election, and his supporters rioted at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in an attempt to prevent Congress from counting the 2020 Electoral College votes.
Democrat Joe Biden enjoyed relatively high ratings after taking office on Jan. 20, and his approval stayed high through the early summer as COVID-19 infections dramatically decreased after millions of Americans got vaccinated against the disease. A summer surge of infections tied to the delta variant of the coronavirus made it clear the pandemic was not over in the U.S., and Biden's approval ratings began to sag . Later, the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan caused Biden's ratings to fall further , into the low 40s. His ratings remain low as the U.S. battles rising inflation and yet another surge of COVID-19 infections, tied to the omicron variant of the virus.
With Trump's approval rating at a low point and Biden relatively popular in the first quarter, 49% of Americans identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic, compared with 40% who were Republicans or Republican leaners.
In the second quarter, Democratic affiliation stayed high, while Republican affiliation began to recover, increasing to 43%.
The third quarter saw a decline in Democratic identification and leaning, from 49% to 45%, as Biden's ratings began to falter, while there was no meaningful change in Republican affiliation.
In the fourth quarter, party support flipped as Republicans made gains, from 44% to 47%, and Democratic affiliation fell from 45% to 42%. These fourth-quarter shifts coincided with strong GOP performances in 2021 elections, including a Republican victory in the Virginia gubernatorial election and a near-upset of the Democratic incumbent governor in New Jersey. Biden won both states by double digits in the 2020 election.
The GOP advantage may be starting to ease, however, as Gallup's latest monthly estimate, from December, showed the two parties about even -- 46% Republican/Republican leaning and 44% Democratic/Democratic leaning.
2021 Shifts Occurred Among Both Core Party Identifiers and Less Attached Leaners
The shifts in party affiliation in each quarter of 2021 were apparent in both the percentage identifying with each party and the percentage of independents leaning to each party, but with more changes among leaners than identifiers.
Between the first and fourth quarters, the percentage of Democratic identifiers decreased by two points, while the percentage of Democratic-leaning independents dropped five points. Republican identification increased by three points from the beginning to the end of 2021, while Republican leaners increased by four points."
It has been a horrific year for the nation. We have to wait an entire year just to rid congress of this evil ideology and another three years to rid the country of the feeble minded scoundrel that made it all possible. The verdict is in for Biden's radical policies. Polls show him losing astounding levels of support from virtually every group of Americans who voted for him just a year ago. That would include Hispanics, moderate Democrats, African-Americans, and by big double digits, independents. The next time some jerk says we have to vote against somebody because of the way he talks, be sure to remind them of their complicity in all that happened this past year.