Are We Headed For 100,000 Coronavirus Deaths After All?
Category: Op/EdBy: john-russell • 5 months ago • 200 comments
I don't often do it but I looked at the coronavirus scorecard this morning
As of 9:45 am cdt , May1, there are 1,096,268 confirmed coronavirus cases in the US. Of these 63,766 have died , and this indicates a US coronavirus death rate of .058, or not quite 6%.
Yesterday 30,458 new cases were confirmed. Applying the .058 rate to the number of new cases, we can see that yesterdays new cases will most likely turn into 1,767 additional U.S. coronavirus deaths.
To get to 100,000 deaths , at that rate, it will take until May 21. If the rate per day goes up it will take less time, and if the rate goes down (most likely) it will take longer. There were 30,000 new cases in the US confirmed yesterday. That doesnt strike me as part of a scenario where this "goes away" during the month of May.
Trump started to take the virus seriously when he was told there would be between 100,000 and 200,000 US deaths from the coronavirus. That was at the beginning of April, and corresponds to the point when he admitted the country could not "open" by Easter, and the "shut down" federal guidelines were extended until May 1.
Now it is May 1, and Trump is doing his best to declare it is all over, and all thats left is 'embers'.
When we hit that 100,000 mark, will he have any regrets about how he handled this whole thing?